Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.045302 0.052838 0.061227 0.071255 0.082918 0.096058 0.111988
2025-10-26 0.033846 0.043752 0.055939 0.072032 0.092732 0.118477 0.152964
2025-11-02 0.027647 0.038668 0.053305 0.074162 0.103136 0.142003 0.198189
2025-11-09 0.022104 0.032986 0.048377 0.071725 0.106279 0.155598 0.231497
2025-11-16 0.018692 0.029500 0.045639 0.071482 0.111871 0.172685 0.271461
2025-11-23 0.015990 0.026526 0.043041 0.070792 0.116324 0.188226 0.310757
2025-11-30 0.014269 0.024771 0.041973 0.072173 0.123960 0.209354 0.361369
2025-12-07 0.012482 0.022600 0.039861 0.071420 0.127795 0.224547 0.403874
2025-12-14 0.010815 0.020367 0.037296 0.069445 0.129111 0.235413 0.440018
2025-12-21 0.009413 0.018397 0.034902 0.067386 0.129887 0.245229 0.475263
2025-12-28 0.008663 0.017536 0.034400 0.068732 0.137072 0.267451 0.536349
2026-01-04 0.007894 0.016522 0.033461 0.069075 0.142305 0.286511 0.593595
2026-01-11 0.007176 0.015529 0.032466 0.069239 0.147335 0.306053 0.654981
2026-01-18 0.006628 0.014816 0.031945 0.070315 0.154397 0.330591 0.730095
2026-01-25 0.006234 0.014378 0.031934 0.072460 0.163988 0.361514 0.822902
2026-02-01 0.005519 0.013119 0.029992 0.070092 0.163351 0.370449 0.868361
2026-02-08 0.005050 0.012360 0.029052 0.069856 0.167470 0.390285 0.941087
2026-02-15 0.004603 0.011591 0.027990 0.069183 0.170460 0.407885 1.010826
2026-02-22 0.004332 0.011211 0.027786 0.070532 0.178439 0.437996 1.114498
2026-03-01 0.003965 0.010538 0.026791 0.069796 0.181191 0.455950 1.190466
2026-03-08 0.003572 0.009745 0.025397 0.067866 0.180673 0.465816 1.247195
2026-03-15 0.003217 0.009004 0.024042 0.065854 0.179678 0.474348 1.301567
2026-03-22 0.003053 0.008759 0.023941 0.067169 0.187678 0.506953 1.424443